Week In Review: The Fed and The Precious Metals, ORCL, KR, SWBI Earnings, Parallels to 1999-2000
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The Best Of All Possible Worlds
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Gleaning Macro Insights From Earnings Reports: CPB and Inflation, PLAY and Economic Reopening, GME and The Reddit Army, May CPI
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Dispatches From The Bubble: GME, Chuck Vukotich’s 4 Bedroom In Penn Hills, PA and The Porn Star Pumping PAWG Coin
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The Brutal Economics of Food Delivery: The Case of DASH
Almost a decade ago, when DoorDash (DASH) was just getting started, I needed money and took a temp job at their small headquarters at the corner of Page Mill Road and El Camino in Palo Alto, CA. My job was to call local restaurants to get their hours for an upcoming holiday and enter that information into a spreadsheet. It was mind numbing work and it didn’t pay much.
Market Themes/Trends Since The March 2020 COVID Lows: Tech, Reopen Value, Inflation
The stock market has been very thematic since the March 2020 COVID lows as investors try to invest in an environment of extreme uncertainty.
PANW, DE & AZO Earnings
As a generalist macro investor I focus on mega caps or stocks in the S&P 100. I look for high quality, reasonably valued stocks that express my macro views. This morning I feel like digging into a few stocks that recently reported earnings to see if any might be prospects for my portfolio as well as for the light they might shed on the market as a whole.
Is The Bubble Popping?
There is a debate among economists about whether we are on the verge of one of the greatest economic booms in history or whether the current market rally is the bubble of all bubbles. The consensus view reflected in market prices is the former. The latter is the correct one in my opinion…
The Case For (And Against) COIN: Fundamental, Technical and Philosophical Considerations
Those who know me will be surprised to learn that I bought shares in Coinbase (COIN), the leading cryptocurrency broker, on Friday in the wake of its 1Q21 Earnings Report Thursday afternoon. That’s because my intellectual roots are in Ayn Rand, Ludwig von Mises, The Austrian School of Economics and therefore the gold standard. As a consequence, I’ve tended to be of the mindset of Warren Buffet toward Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in general when he called the former “rat poison squared” at Berkshire’s 2018 Annual Meeting. However, that doesn’t mean I can’t trade it profitably.
The Fed Is Buying Stocks Again, DIS Earnings
I’ll never forget it. It was 11:50am Friday March 26, 2021. I was short stocks, mainly tech stocks, and doing quite well when, all of a sudden and out of nowhere, stocks started to rip higher. From breaking down they went to exploding higher without rhyme or reason. I believe the NASDAQ ripped higher by ~2% in that time period into the close