Never Enough
How much money is enough? We invest because we want to grow our wealth. The more money we have the more we can consume and the more freedom we have over our time. And so it feels like we could…
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DKS Disastrous Day: The Foot Locker Acquisition Is Undoing The Stock
Yesterday (Tuesday) I wrote about a lazy trade I made on Monday. After a three day vacation from the market playing poker, working out and reading books in Rohnert Park, I was anxious to jump back in. Unfortunately, my over…
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Why My DKS Trade Failed
One of my core beliefs is that mistakes are the royal road to growth and improvement. While painful, analyzing one’s mistakes is the best way to learn hard lessons that will take you to the next level. Unfortunately, you never…
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TPR: Applying The Perennial Strategy
Tapestry (TPR) – the maker of Coach and Kate Spade purses for women – reported 4QFY26 earnings this morning. While the numbers looked good to me, the market has sent shares down 17% at the open. This gives us an…
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Buy The Dip In Gold
On March 29, 2024 The Wall Street Journal’s Aaron Back wrote a prescient piece about why gold was rallying despite a lack of inflation (“Gold Is Rallying. It Isn’t About Inflation This Time” [SUBSCRIPTION REQUIRED]; I wrote about Back’s article…
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Revisiting The Health Insurers A Year After The Buffett Bottom
On August 19, 2025 I wrote a blog titled “A Better Way To Play The Buffett Bottom In The Health Insurers”. Buffett had been accumulating a large position that the SEC had given him permission not to disclose. When Berkshire…
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CAG Is One Of The Cheapest Stocks In The Market Ahead of Earnings Wed Morning; How I’m Playing It
Conagra (CAG), the food manufacturer, is one of the cheapest stocks in the market ahead of its 4QFY26 earnings report Wednesday morning. In fact, due its declining market cap, the stock was removed from the S&P 500 two weeks ago…
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2Q26 Client Update
After our terrific year last year, I was hoping for more of the same in 2026. And while we got off to a good start in 1Q26, we didn’t make much progress in 2Q26. That’s because the market is increasingly…
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Patience vs Stubbornness: The Case of the NKE Turnaround
I was listening to the Nike (NKE) conference call about an hour ago, waiting for them to give their next quarter revenue guidance. When the CFO forecast a low to mid single digit decline and said that the revenue inflection…
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The Contradiction at the Heart of the Market
Let’s start with some context. The current bull market is being driven by optimism about Artificial Intelligence (AI). The premise is that AI will radically improve economic productivity resulting in a massive economic boom. It began on the afternoon of…
