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The Evolution of Value Investing: From Ben Graham To Warren Buffett – and Beyond

The Evolution of Value Investing: From Ben Graham To Warren Buffett – and Beyond

May 31, 2025 Reading Time: 11 minutes

It is better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price – Warren Buffett, 1989 Letter to Shareholders The advent of value investing occurred with the publication of Ben Graham and…

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Reasons For Concern: Interest Rates, Tariffs, Valuation

Reasons For Concern: Interest Rates, Tariffs, Valuation

May 26, 2025 Reading Time: 5 minutes

The market was cruising along until a weak 20 year treasury auction in the middle of the day Wednesday sent interest rates soaring and stocks stumbling. Early Friday President Trump spooked markets once again by calling for a 50% tariff…

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Why I Suspect This Is A Bear Market Rally

Why I Suspect This Is A Bear Market Rally

May 5, 2025 Reading Time: 4 minutes

I have been going back and forth over the last week or two: Bear Market Rally or Correction In An Ongoing Bull Market? In the wake of the strong bullish reaction to Google’s (GOOG/GOOGL) 1Q25 earnings report on Thursday April…

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Good Not Great Mag 7 Earnings May Not Be Enough To Sustain Market Rally

Good Not Great Mag 7 Earnings May Not Be Enough To Sustain Market Rally

May 1, 2025 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Wednesday night I suggested that 5,650 might be the limit for the S&P if the recent bounce is in fact a bear market rally. And that’s exactly how things played out in Thursday’s session with the S&P reaching a high…

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This Is Where Things Get Interesting

This Is Where Things Get Interesting

May 1, 2025 Reading Time: 5 minutes

It’s been quite a rally the last few weeks as Trump has walked back the outrageous tariffs he announced on Liberation Day and 4 of The Magnificent 7 have reported solid earnings over the last week. 5,500 represents a significant…

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The Market Is Correctly Starting To Price In A Recession And The Magnificent 7 Are Played Out

The Market Is Correctly Starting To Price In A Recession And The Magnificent 7 Are Played Out

August 3, 2024 Reading Time: 5 minutes

The narrative over the last few weeks has been that the defeat of inflation will allow The Fed to cut rates in September has resulted in a rotation out of Mega-Cap Tech (QQQ) and into Small Caps (IWM) which will…

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An Economic Slowdown; DIS Earnings, Buffett Cuts AAPL Stake By 13%, UBER Earnings

An Economic Slowdown; DIS Earnings, Buffett Cuts AAPL Stake By 13%, UBER Earnings

May 6, 2024 Reading Time: 4 minutes

The S&P surged 64 points (1.26%) on Friday to 5,128 – right up to its 50 DMA (5,130). The 50 DMA continues to serve as resistance and the S&P continues to trade in a range (4950 – 5250) defined by…

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AAPL: Another Mediocre Quarter – But The Stock Is +6%

AAPL: Another Mediocre Quarter – But The Stock Is +6%

May 2, 2024 Reading Time: 2 minutes

If you would have given me Apple’s (AAPL) earnings report before it came out, I would have told you that the stock would be down – possibly by a lot. Because it was decidedly mediocre. And yet it’s +6% in…

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AAPL Earnings Could Break The Market

AAPL Earnings Could Break The Market

May 2, 2024 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Obviously the most important event on tap Thursday is Apple (AAPL) earnings after the close. While the stock is off more than 10% YTD, it is still quite overvalued given the lack of growth IMO. In his piece on AAPL…

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The S&P Stalls At Its 50 DMA Ahead Of A Huge Week: AMZN & AAPL Earnings, Fed Meeting, April Jobs Report

The S&P Stalls At Its 50 DMA Ahead Of A Huge Week: AMZN & AAPL Earnings, Fed Meeting, April Jobs Report

April 29, 2024 Reading Time: 5 minutes

As I suggested late afternoon last Thursday, the most likely scenario was for the S&P to gap up to near its 50 DMA in the wake of strong Google (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) earnings and then trade sideways for the…

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I dropped out of Philosophy graduate school to start Top Gun in 2006 to profit from the bursting of the housing bubble. The stock market peaked in 2007 and Top Gun beat the S&P by more than 50% in 2008... Learn More

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