The combination of all this fiscal and monetary stimulus is turbocharging what Keynes called aggregate demand. All that demand is putting tremendous stress on the global supply chain resulting in bottlenecks and raw material inflation. The inflation we are now…
There are a number of companies on a different fiscal year whose quarter ended at the end of August rather than September and therefore give us a preview of what to expect when 3Q earnings season swings into full gear…
This afternoon, dating app Bumble (BMBL) reported second quarter earnings. Last Tuesday, Tinder parent Match (MTCH) reported the same. If you want a date, check them out. But what about the stocks? Let’s start with Tinder. Tinder is the leading…
The most important event of the week was the Fed Decision on Wednesday afternoon. While the Fed did not make any policy changes (the Fed Funds Rate continues at 0% as well as $120 Billion/month in asset purchases) they did start to talk about inflation raising the possibility of tapering asset purchases and raising interest rates down the road. That was enough to create a dramatic reaction in financial markets.
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Almost a decade ago, when DoorDash (DASH) was just getting started, I needed money and took a temp job at their small headquarters at the corner of Page Mill Road and El Camino in Palo Alto, CA. My job was to call local restaurants to get their hours for an upcoming holiday and enter that information into a spreadsheet. It was mind numbing work and it didn’t pay much.
As a generalist macro investor I focus on mega caps or stocks in the S&P 100. I look for high quality, reasonably valued stocks that express my macro views. This morning I feel like digging into a few stocks that recently reported earnings to see if any might be prospects for my portfolio as well as for the light they might shed on the market as a whole.
Those who know me will be surprised to learn that I bought shares in Coinbase (COIN), the leading cryptocurrency broker, on Friday in the wake of its 1Q21 Earnings Report Thursday afternoon. That’s because my intellectual roots are in Ayn Rand, Ludwig von Mises, The Austrian School of Economics and therefore the gold standard. As a consequence, I’ve tended to be of the mindset of Warren Buffet toward Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in general when he called the former “rat poison squared” at Berkshire’s 2018 Annual Meeting. However, that doesn’t mean I can’t trade it profitably.
I’ll never forget it. It was 11:50am Friday March 26, 2021. I was short stocks, mainly tech stocks, and doing quite well when, all of a sudden and out of nowhere, stocks started to rip higher. From breaking down they went to exploding higher without rhyme or reason. I believe the NASDAQ ripped higher by ~2% in that time period into the close
A very important divergence is taking place in markets between the tech led NASDAQ and the broader market as represented by the S&P 500.