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Magnificent 7

The Mag 7 Is Now The Fab 5, TSLA 1Q Deliveries, PVH -20%

The Mag 7 Is Now The Fab 5, TSLA 1Q Deliveries, PVH -20%

April 1, 2024 Reading Time: 3 minutes

While the market held up last week despite underperformance from the Magnificent 7 (or Fab 5) because of strength in the rest of the S&P 500, it can’t go much higher without them leading. That’s simply a function of math:…

Read More The Mag 7 Is Now The Fab 5, TSLA 1Q Deliveries, PVH -20%Continue

The Market Will Soon Hit An Air Pocket And Drop 20% In A Matter Of Months

The Market Will Soon Hit An Air Pocket And Drop 20% In A Matter Of Months

March 28, 2024 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Yesterday, in a presentation to investors, Dubravko Lokas-Bujas, JP Morgan’s Chief Global Equity Strategist, called for an “out of the blue” stock market crash to finish 2024 at 4200 – about 20% below current levels. The reason he gave is…

Read More The Market Will Soon Hit An Air Pocket And Drop 20% In A Matter Of MonthsContinue

IWM And RSP Lead Post Fed Breakout, QQQ $445

IWM And RSP Lead Post Fed Breakout, QQQ $445

March 22, 2024 Reading Time: 5 minutes

Wednesday at 2pm EST the Fed released its policy statement explaining its March rate decision and forward outlook. At 2:30pm EST Chair Powell held a press conference. In the wake of the Fed’s maintaining its outlook for three interest rate…

Read More IWM And RSP Lead Post Fed Breakout, QQQ $445Continue

Sticky Inflation Means Higher For Longer And The Magnificent 7 Are Out Of Gas

Sticky Inflation Means Higher For Longer And The Magnificent 7 Are Out Of Gas

March 15, 2024 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Stocks rallied hard on Tuesday in the wake of the February CPI – but it didn’t make any sense. The CPI came in slightly hotter than expected and this sticky inflation has taken a May rate cut off the table….

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NVDA Earnings And The Popping Of The Mag 7 Bubble

NVDA Earnings And The Popping Of The Mag 7 Bubble

February 16, 2024 Reading Time: 5 minutes

S&P 5000. I can’t say I expected that 15 years ago when the market was crashing and the S&P fell below 700. It’s been an incredible run since then – led by the Big 5, now the Magnificent 7 (Tesla…

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March Rate Cut Not Likely, AAPL Earnings: The Emperor Has No Clothes

March Rate Cut Not Likely, AAPL Earnings: The Emperor Has No Clothes

February 1, 2024 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Fed Chair Jerome Powell was significantly more hawkish than expected in his post Fed Statement press conference Wednesday resulting in a selloff in stocks. Powell said he didn’t think a March rate cut was likely pushing up the odds of…

Read More March Rate Cut Not Likely, AAPL Earnings: The Emperor Has No ClothesContinue

The Magnificent 7 Will Go The Way Of The Nifty 50

The Magnificent 7 Will Go The Way Of The Nifty 50

January 29, 2024 Reading Time: 2 minutes

History doesn’t repeat itself but it rhymes – Mark Twain In the late 1960s and early 1970s there was a group of high quality companies including Kodak and Xerox that led the market and which investors piled into regardless of…

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Is Value Investing Dead? A Look Back At The Last 15 Years

Is Value Investing Dead? A Look Back At The Last 15 Years

January 8, 2024 Reading Time: 6 minutes

At the end of his long life, Charlie Munger expressed doubts about the future of value investing: I think that the modern investors, to get ahead, almost has to get in a few stocks that are way above average. They…

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I dropped out of Philosophy graduate school to start Top Gun in 2006 to profit from the bursting of the housing bubble. The stock market peaked in 2007 and Top Gun beat the S&P by more than 50% in 2008... Learn More

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