Contrary Indicator – Fox Business Channel Launch

January 18, 2008 at 12:42 pm  ·  Category: Sentiment Analysis

“We should surely expect to see stories about the stock market featured in the financial press such as The Wall Street Journal .  This in itself tells us little.  On the other hand, when a feature article on the equity market appears in general circulation publications such as TimeNewsweek, or US News and World Report, we should take note because the story has begun to circulate well beyond the usual financial circles….. The interesting thing about such stories is that they invariably occur after a substantial price movement has taken place…. To the contrarian, the appearance of such stories is not a signal to buy; rather, it is a sign that it is time to think about selling.”

Investment Psychology Explained (1993), Martin Pring, Ch. 9 “When To Go Contrary”, pgs. 139-40 

The Big Picture’s Barry Ritholtz this morning pointed me to an interesting article by Dan Gross from October “Did Roger Ailes Call the Market Top?”

In it, he explains how slow moving, popular media generally try to capitalize on a trend long after it is well established and frequently near the time it has run its course and is about to reverse.

I noted the launch of “Fast Money” at the end of 2006.  This is another example.

Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  Trackback URL  ·  Link
 

Leave a Comment

Name required
E-mail required, won't be published
Web site