Fundamental Analysis Archive

Why The Stock Market Is Irrational Right Now

One of the things about Wall Street is that it is incredibly short term focused.  Investors, including (especially?!) professionals, tend to care about the here and now and possibly a year out. If you do this, ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

Dell Is Trading For 4 Times Earnings

November 13, 2008  ·  Category: Fundamental Analysis, Stocks
I just want to give you an example of how absurdly cheap stocks are right now. Today, on the back of Intel's reduced forecast and Goldman Sachs putting them on their Conviction Sell list, Dell traded ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

Two Articles Ask “Are Stocks Cheap?” And Reach Different Conclusions

October 27, 2008  ·  Category: Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary
"How low are P/E ratios? Valuations are low only if you have short memory", Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch, October 23, 2008 Mark Hulbert writes that the S&P's trailing P/E ratio on the last 12 months reported earnings ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

A Severe Recession Is Now Priced Into Stocks

October 24, 2008  ·  Category: Fundamental Analysis, Macro Economics, Market Commentary, Stocks
On February 8th, with the S&P trading around 1330 I wrote "Stocks Now Priced For Mild Recession". Because I was expecting a severe recession, I didn't yet feel that stocks fully discounted what was on the ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

Intel Ba-byyyy!

October 14, 2008  ·  Category: Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Stocks
Intel (INTC) kicked off 3rd quarter tech earnings after the close today and they did it in style (INTC 3Q Earnings Release). They reported EPS of 35 cents a share compared to estimates of 34 cents ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

Google Is Ridiculous Cheap Here - Another Example Of The Opportunities Available Now

October 8, 2008  ·  Category: Fundamental Analysis, Stocks
Google (GOOG) is trading at $345 a share as I write this - down 54% from its high of $747 last November.  That gives it a market cap of about $110 billion.  Subtract the $14 ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

Freeport McMoran Now Attractive - An Example Of Emerging Value

October 7, 2008  ·  Category: Commodities, Fundamental Analysis, Stocks
About 6 months ago I wrote a post arguing that copper giant Freeport McMoran (FCX) was overvalued ("Freeport Valuation Bloated Here", Top Gun FP, April 23, 2008).  At the time, Freeport was trading at $118 ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

“Please Make A U-Turn. Thank You. Recalculating Route.”

July 30, 2008  ·  Category: Fundamental Analysis, Stocks
GPS maker Garmin (GRMN) is getting torched again today after reporting disappointing 2nd quarter earnings before the open (GRMN 2nd Quarter Earnings Release).  They reported earnings of 94 cents a share, excluding a 25 cent ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

eBay Is A Bargain At These Prices

July 17, 2008  ·  Category: Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Stocks
The number that I and everyone else will be focusing on is the GMV number, which was disappointing with only 8% growth. - John Aiken (subscription required), Analyst, Majestic Research  eBay (EBAY) reported 2nd quarter earnings after the ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  1 Comment »