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Why I Suspect This Is A Bear Market Rally

Why I Suspect This Is A Bear Market Rally

May 5, 2025 Reading Time: 4 minutes

I have been going back and forth over the last week or two: Bear Market Rally or Correction In An Ongoing Bull Market? In the wake of the strong bullish reaction to Google’s (GOOG/GOOGL) 1Q25 earnings report on Thursday April…

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This Is Where Things Get Interesting

This Is Where Things Get Interesting

May 1, 2025 Reading Time: 5 minutes

It’s been quite a rally the last few weeks as Trump has walked back the outrageous tariffs he announced on Liberation Day and 4 of The Magnificent 7 have reported solid earnings over the last week. 5,500 represents a significant…

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GOOG Earnings, Breakout Pending, 1998 Analogy

GOOG Earnings, Breakout Pending, 1998 Analogy

April 25, 2025 Reading Time: 4 minutes

Google (GOOG/GOOGL) reported 1Q25 earnings after the close Thursday. I think Gene Munster is right in characterizing the quarter as “good but not great” as Search Revenue growth continues to decelerate. Nevertheless, with the stock beat down over the last…

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*UPDATED WITH MSFT and META RESULTS* Mag 7 Fundamentals Are Stellar – But Valuations Are Stretched

*UPDATED WITH MSFT and META RESULTS* Mag 7 Fundamentals Are Stellar – But Valuations Are Stretched

October 31, 2024 Reading Time: 8 minutes

In analyzing the markets we must always keep in mind that the Mag 7 make up approximately 30% of the market capitalization of the S&P 500. As a result, so go the Mag 7, so goes the major market indexes….

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The Market Is Correctly Starting To Price In A Recession And The Magnificent 7 Are Played Out

The Market Is Correctly Starting To Price In A Recession And The Magnificent 7 Are Played Out

August 3, 2024 Reading Time: 5 minutes

The narrative over the last few weeks has been that the defeat of inflation will allow The Fed to cut rates in September has resulted in a rotation out of Mega-Cap Tech (QQQ) and into Small Caps (IWM) which will…

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GOOG/GOOGL: Blowout Quarter, MSFT: Excellent Quarter As Well

GOOG/GOOGL: Blowout Quarter, MSFT: Excellent Quarter As Well

April 25, 2024 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Google (GOOG/GOOGL) just reported a blowout quarter after the market close Thursday. Revenue was +15%, Operating Margin surged to 31.6% from 25.0% a year ago and EPS of $1.89 is up 62% from the year ago period. These are massive…

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The Bull Market Has Been Canceled

The Bull Market Has Been Canceled

October 25, 2023 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Any weakness in [Big Tech’s earnings reports] could be the catalyst for the market weight S&P to decisively break below its 200 DMA which I’ve been forecasting for three weeks now – “Market Technicals Heading Into Big Tech Earnings”, Top…

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Market Technicals Heading Into Big Tech Earnings

Market Technicals Heading Into Big Tech Earnings

October 23, 2023 Reading Time: 3 minutes

The market weight S&P 500 closed just below its 200 DMA Monday as we head into the heart of 3Q23 earnings season with Google (GOOG/GOOGL), Microsoft (MSFT), Facebook (META) and Amazon (AMZN) all reporting earnings this week. As Karen Langley…

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The Technicals Vs The Fundamentals

The Technicals Vs The Fundamentals

February 3, 2023 Reading Time: 4 minutes

Right now in the stock market we have as clear a divergence as I can recall between what the technicals are saying and what the fundamentals are. As far as the technicals, the S&P is above its 200 DMA, above…

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Back To Reality: The Earnings Recession Has Arrived

Back To Reality: The Earnings Recession Has Arrived

February 2, 2023 Reading Time: 4 minutes

Sentiment became euphoric Thursday on the back of META earnings yesterday afternoon sending the NASDAQ up 3.25% and the S&P 1.47%. Unfortunately – as I suggested in my blog this morning (“The Bear Market Has Been Cancelled”) – price was…

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I dropped out of Philosophy graduate school to start Top Gun in 2006 to profit from the bursting of the housing bubble. The stock market peaked in 2007 and Top Gun beat the S&P by more than 50% in 2008... Learn More

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