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Investing Philosophy

FRPT: Thinking Long Term To Beat Wall Street

FRPT: Thinking Long Term To Beat Wall Street

February 23, 2026 Reading Time: 4 minutes

Freshpet (FRPT), a $4 billion dollar dog food maker, just reported 4Q25 earnings and the stock is down almost 4% in reaction. But I liked the report and the reaction doesn’t bother me at all. That’s because while Wall Street…

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The Portfolio Concentration Debate

The Portfolio Concentration Debate

February 9, 2026 Reading Time: 10 minutes

It frequently happens that a man delivers his opinions with such boldness and assurance that he appears to be under no apprehension as to the possibility of his being in error. The offer of a bet startles him, and makes…

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Investment Philosophies: Value vs Momentum

Investment Philosophies: Value vs Momentum

January 8, 2026 Reading Time: 10 minutes

In the short run, the market is a voting machine; in the long run, a weighing machine – Ben Graham The great Ben Graham – teacher of Warren Buffett – encapsulated the two perennial approaches to investing in the quote…

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Year End Letter: Top Gun Returns 38% in 2025

Year End Letter: Top Gun Returns 38% in 2025

January 3, 2026 Reading Time: 20 minutes

January 3, 2026 It takes a man a long time to learn all the lessons of all his mistakes – Jesse Livermore The test of a first rate intelligence is the ability to hold two opposing ideas in mind at…

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How I Finally Started Making Money Once I Realized I’m Not That Smart

How I Finally Started Making Money Once I Realized I’m Not That Smart

November 13, 2025 Reading Time: 8 minutes

There are a lot of really smart people on Twitter. Traders who can time every zig and zag in the market. Investors who understand AI and who the winners and losers will be. Let me save you some time: I’m…

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Why I’m Holding Onto CAT Despite It Being Technically Overextended and Fundamentally Overvalued

Why I’m Holding Onto CAT Despite It Being Technically Overextended and Fundamentally Overvalued

October 29, 2025 Reading Time: 4 minutes

Caterpillar (CAT) reported 3Q25 earnings Wednesday morning and the stock is exploding higher (+13% as I write). I’m sitting on some pretty big gains and I was tempted to sell but I’m not going to for a couple of reasons….

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How To Navigate A Bubble

How To Navigate A Bubble

September 21, 2025 Reading Time: 9 minutes

There is nothing so disturbing to one’s well being and judgement as seeing a friend get rich – Charles Kindleberger On Friday, the S&P briefly hit 6,666 before closing the week at 6,664. That is up 10x or 1000% from…

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How And Why I Invest In Stocks Outside My Circle Of Competence

How And Why I Invest In Stocks Outside My Circle Of Competence

September 11, 2025 Reading Time: 9 minutes

One of the core principles of Warren Buffett’s value investing system is Circle of Competence. That is, only buy stocks whose business you understand. If you don’t understand a business, how can you analyze it and come to an estimate…

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Is This The Top? Reflections On Cycles And Macro

Is This The Top? Reflections On Cycles And Macro

September 3, 2025 Reading Time: 9 minutes

The Perennial Philosophy in investing is to buy great companies and hold them for the long term. Buy right and sit tight. That is is how the big money is made in stocks. In fact, you don’t even have to…

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The Education of an Investor II: Quality > Price

The Education of an Investor II: Quality > Price

August 18, 2025 Reading Time: 5 minutes

It takes a man a long time to learn all the lessons of all his mistakes – Jesse Livermore It is better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price –…

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I dropped out of Philosophy graduate school to start Top Gun in 2006 to profit from the bursting of the housing bubble. The stock market peaked in 2007 and Top Gun beat the S&P by more than 50% in 2008... Learn More

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