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Market Commentary

Looks Like Another Good Week; Dow Continues to Lead – Mostly; Carry Trade Back In Full Force

May 17, 2007 Reading Time: 5 minutes

It’s looking like another good week for the stock market.  Here’s how the action looks through 4 days: Dow: +151, to 13,477 S&P: +7, to 1513 Nasdaq: -23, to 2539 Russell 2000: -14, to 816 Again, we are seeing the…

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Dreams Of A Rate Cut???? – Flat Core PPI Fuels Rally

May 11, 2007 Reading Time: 2 minutes

“On the inflation front, the trend appears to be down, instead of holding steady, for the first time.  We can live with the economic weakness [implied by the retail sales numbers] if we’re getting inflation under control.” – Marc Pado,…

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Today’s Retail Numbers Don’t Mean Anything

May 10, 2007 Reading Time: 7 minutes

“When the market is on a roll like this, it ultimately looks for excuses for profit taking, and retail sales provided that.” – Tony Dwyer, equity strategist FTN Midwest Research (subscription required) About an hour ago Barry Ritholtz at The…

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I Can’t Think Of Anything To Stop This Market In The Short Term

May 4, 2007 Reading Time: 7 minutes

4 weeks ago (Tue 4/9, “Back to Reality – Earnings Season Kicks Off”), I was skeptical that markets could power through what looked to be an upcoming disappointing earnings season.  I quoted E.S. Browning from the Wall Street Journal that…

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S&P 500 Closes Above 1500 For The First Time Since Sept 7, 2000

May 4, 2007 Reading Time: 1 minute

The S&P 500 closed today at 1502 – the first time it’s closed above 1500 since Sept 7, 2000.  The all-time closing high for the S&P 500 of 1527.46 on March 24, 2000 seems destined to fall.  Dow 13,000.  Now…

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“Sell In May And Go Away” ??? – Stocks Drop 90 Points In The Last 2 Hours of Trading

April 30, 2007 Reading Time: 1 minute

After rallying as much as 40 points earlier in the day, the Dow went into free fall in the last 2 hours of trading today losing about 90 points in that time.  My sense is that this was just people…

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Does The Economy Matter? Response to Today’s (Fri) GDP Number Will Be Instructive

April 27, 2007 Reading Time: 1 minute

At 8:30am EST, or about 5 hours from now, the Commerce Department will make its first stab at reporting 1st quarter Real GDP.  Economists are estimating a measly 1.8% growth.  In his “Ahead of The Tape” column from today’s (Fri…

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The “Sell China” Chart – China Selloff III: Coming to a Stock Exchange Near You Soon

April 24, 2007 Reading Time: 1 minute

If this chart doesn’t scream “Sell China” I don’t know what does.  That chart looks to me like it’s about to curl around and head back in time while going up at the same time.  Some trick that would be!!!! …

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Google Powers The Market to New Highs – Dow 13,000 and S&P 1500 Seem Destined

April 20, 2007 Reading Time: 1 minute

On the back of Google’s superb earnings report after the close yesterday, the market has taken off.  The Dow has powered through 12900 for the first time in its history, up 124 points with an hour and a half left…

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Never Mind That Correction – Market Powers Higher Despite Growing Concerns

April 16, 2007 Reading Time: 3 minutes

The S&P 500 closed today up 15 to 1468, marking a 6 1/2 year high.  That’s 8 points higher than the most recent high close of 1460 on Tuesday February 20 – the week before the huge sell-off of February 27.  To say…

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I dropped out of Philosophy graduate school to start Top Gun in 2006 to profit from the bursting of the housing bubble. The stock market peaked in 2007 and Top Gun beat the S&P by more than 50% in 2008... Learn More

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