The Case For MDLZ
Mondelez (MDLZ) is a $70 billion food company with a number of popular brands like Chips Ahoy!, Clif Bar, Ritz Crackers, Sour Patch Kids and Oreos, among many others. It is the 7th largest holding in the S&P Consumer Staples…
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Year End Letter: Top Gun Returns 38% in 2025
January 3, 2026 It takes a man a long time to learn all the lessons of all his mistakes – Jesse Livermore The test of a first rate intelligence is the ability to hold two opposing ideas in mind at…
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The NKE Quarter
I have been stalking Nike (NKE) for 27 months now and have written four blogs on it over that period, biding my time for the right spots to increase my position while lightening up at times. I added a few…
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Is CHWY The AMZN Of Pets?
$15 billion market cap Chewy (CHWY) is the leading online retailer of pet supplies. While I’m a big believer in businesses selling to pet owners because I believe that trend is in a secular bull market due to young people…
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Yields Front And Center Ahead Of Fed Decision
The market is pricing in an 87% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday. But the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has risen sharply over the last week. What gives? Contrary to many people’s…
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The Forgotten Tech Stock
While the AI trade continues to dominate the market, one tech stock is being left out: Salesforce (CRM). CRM is down 31% YTD. With its 3Q25 earnings report coming up next Wednesday afternoon, this is an interesting moment for the…
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Why I’ll Hold ULTA Through Earnings Next Week Despite Its Having Gotten Somewhat Expensive
Ulta Beauty (ULTA) is the leading cosmetics retailer in the country. They had 1473 stores as of August 2, 2025 and a market cap of $24 billion as of the close on Wednesday November 26. I bought it in the…
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2 GARP Stocks To Buy Ahead Of Earnings Next Week
While next week is a short week due to the Thanksgiving holiday, there are two GARP stocks reporting earnings that are presenting a nice opportunity. GARP is a term popularized by Peter Lynch and stands for Growth At a Reasonable…
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Bad Breadth Is A Major Red Flag, META To Sell Off On Big Increase In Expenses in 2026, Gold Miner Mini-Crash A Buying Opportunity
This is one of the four busiest weeks of the year when five of the Magnificent 7 that dominate the markets report 3Q25 earnings. It started Wednesday afternoon with Microsoft (MSFT), Google (GOOG/GOOGL) and Facebook (META) and continues Thursday afternoon…
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Why I’m Holding Onto CAT Despite It Being Technically Overextended and Fundamentally Overvalued
Caterpillar (CAT) reported 3Q25 earnings Wednesday morning and the stock is exploding higher (+13% as I write). I’m sitting on some pretty big gains and I was tempted to sell but I’m not going to for a couple of reasons….
