The Inflation Question
I went to one who had the reputation of wisdom, and observed to him – his name I need not mention; he was a politician whom I selected for examination – and the result was as follows: When I began to talk with…
Week In Review: The Fed and The Precious Metals, ORCL, KR, SWBI Earnings, Parallels to 1999-2000
The most important event of the week was the Fed Decision on Wednesday afternoon. While the Fed did not make any policy changes (the Fed Funds Rate continues at 0% as well as $120 Billion/month in asset purchases) they did start to talk about inflation raising the possibility of tapering asset purchases and raising interest rates down the road. That was enough to create a dramatic reaction in financial markets.
The Best Of All Possible Worlds
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Gleaning Macro Insights From Earnings Reports: CPB and Inflation, PLAY and Economic Reopening, GME and The Reddit Army, May CPI
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The Brutal Economics of Food Delivery: The Case of DASH
Almost a decade ago, when DoorDash (DASH) was just getting started, I needed money and took a temp job at their small headquarters at the corner of Page Mill Road and El Camino in Palo Alto, CA. My job was to call local restaurants to get their hours for an upcoming holiday and enter that information into a spreadsheet. It was mind numbing work and it didn’t pay much.
PANW, DE & AZO Earnings
As a generalist macro investor I focus on mega caps or stocks in the S&P 100. I look for high quality, reasonably valued stocks that express my macro views. This morning I feel like digging into a few stocks that recently reported earnings to see if any might be prospects for my portfolio as well as for the light they might shed on the market as a whole.
The Case For (And Against) COIN: Fundamental, Technical and Philosophical Considerations
Those who know me will be surprised to learn that I bought shares in Coinbase (COIN), the leading cryptocurrency broker, on Friday in the wake of its 1Q21 Earnings Report Thursday afternoon. That’s because my intellectual roots are in Ayn Rand, Ludwig von Mises, The Austrian School of Economics and therefore the gold standard. As a consequence, I’ve tended to be of the mindset of Warren Buffet toward Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in general when he called the former “rat poison squared” at Berkshire’s 2018 Annual Meeting. However, that doesn’t mean I can’t trade it profitably.
The Fed Is Buying Stocks Again, DIS Earnings
I’ll never forget it. It was 11:50am Friday March 26, 2021. I was short stocks, mainly tech stocks, and doing quite well when, all of a sudden and out of nowhere, stocks started to rip higher. From breaking down they went to exploding higher without rhyme or reason. I believe the NASDAQ ripped higher by ~2% in that time period into the close
Is The Rotation From Growth to Value or Offense to Defense?, Monday’s Bizarre Internals and What They Might Mean
Most analysts have been characterizing the current rotation in markets as from Growth to Value. However, while on Monday the S&P 500 Value ETF (IVE, -0.02%) outperformed the S&P 500 Growth ETF (IVW, -1.95%), on Tuesday growth (-0.43%) outperformed value (-1.35%). This calls into question the Growth to Value narrative.
A Divergence Between The NASDAQ and The S&P, The Reopen Trade Has Gotten Ahead of Itself: MAR & SPG
A very important divergence is taking place in markets between the tech led NASDAQ and the broader market as represented by the S&P 500.