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Technical Analysis

The Market Appears Unstoppable But Is It?

The Market Appears Unstoppable But Is It?

May 19, 2025 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Even a downgrade of the US credit rating by Moody’s couldn’t derail the current momentum in the stock market Monday as the S&P clawed back all of the 60 points it lost at the open plus 5. The technicals have…

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Why I Suspect This Is A Bear Market Rally

Why I Suspect This Is A Bear Market Rally

May 5, 2025 Reading Time: 4 minutes

I have been going back and forth over the last week or two: Bear Market Rally or Correction In An Ongoing Bull Market? In the wake of the strong bullish reaction to Google’s (GOOG/GOOGL) 1Q25 earnings report on Thursday April…

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Good Not Great Mag 7 Earnings May Not Be Enough To Sustain Market Rally

Good Not Great Mag 7 Earnings May Not Be Enough To Sustain Market Rally

May 1, 2025 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Wednesday night I suggested that 5,650 might be the limit for the S&P if the recent bounce is in fact a bear market rally. And that’s exactly how things played out in Thursday’s session with the S&P reaching a high…

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This Is Where Things Get Interesting

This Is Where Things Get Interesting

May 1, 2025 Reading Time: 5 minutes

It’s been quite a rally the last few weeks as Trump has walked back the outrageous tariffs he announced on Liberation Day and 4 of The Magnificent 7 have reported solid earnings over the last week. 5,500 represents a significant…

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GOOG Earnings, Breakout Pending, 1998 Analogy

GOOG Earnings, Breakout Pending, 1998 Analogy

April 25, 2025 Reading Time: 4 minutes

Google (GOOG/GOOGL) reported 1Q25 earnings after the close Thursday. I think Gene Munster is right in characterizing the quarter as “good but not great” as Search Revenue growth continues to decelerate. Nevertheless, with the stock beat down over the last…

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Bull or Bear? CMG Earnings, Gold Reversal

Bull or Bear? CMG Earnings, Gold Reversal

April 24, 2025 Reading Time: 4 minutes

Obviously uncertainty is extremely high at the moment and so is the question of whether the market has bottomed or the powerful rally the last two days represents a bear market rally. From the standpoint of technical analysis, it is…

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If It Looks Like A Bear Market And Acts Like A Bear Market…..

If It Looks Like A Bear Market And Acts Like A Bear Market…..

April 17, 2025 Reading Time: 4 minutes

Staples exhibit sustained leadership in bear markets, not bulls – Steve Strazza, “A Bear Market Base”, The Strazza Letter, April 16, 2025 It’s hard to gain perspective on the market given the daily swings we’re experiencing. In order to do…

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Battle At The 200 DMA, WGO Earnings

Battle At The 200 DMA, WGO Earnings

March 27, 2025 Reading Time: 4 minutes

The S&P reclaimed its 200 DMA on Monday after comments from the Trump Administration over the weekend about reducing the scope of tariffs. However, yesterday it failed to hold it, closing 44 points below it. The 200 DMA is the…

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The Market Is About To Get Smashed

The Market Is About To Get Smashed

March 21, 2025 Reading Time: 5 minutes

First a caveat. While formerly a permabear, I have seen the light and become a Warren Buffett-style long term investor (see “The Enduring Investment Principles of Warren Buffett”, January 14, 2025). After a long period of being bearish and wrong…

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My Conversation With Warren Buffett About The Correction

My Conversation With Warren Buffett About The Correction

March 14, 2025 Reading Time: 9 minutes

I just got off the phone with Warren Buffett during which I picked his brain about the current correction. There’s a lot of noise out there right now so I wanted to hear it straight from the GOAT. Here’s what…

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I dropped out of Philosophy graduate school to start Top Gun in 2006 to profit from the bursting of the housing bubble. The stock market peaked in 2007 and Top Gun beat the S&P by more than 50% in 2008... Learn More

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