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  • This Market Looks Alot Like 1998-00; Phase 3: The Speculative Blowoff

    March 27, 2007 Reading Time: 8 minutes

    The three phases of a bull market: “Phase one is the rebound from the depressed conditions of the previous bear market.  Here stocks return to known values.  In the second and longest phase, shares advance in recognition of improving business and…

    Read More This Market Looks Alot Like 1998-00; Phase 3: The Speculative BlowoffContinue

  • Why the Fed Said What It Said

    March 26, 2007 Reading Time: 3 minutes

    ” … They can’t say what they really think.  The Fed knows how important confidence is, and they do not want to do anything to discourage consumer sentiment or spook the psychology of the markets.” – Barry Ritholtz, “FOMC Statement,…

    Read More Why the Fed Said What It SaidContinue

  • Bullishness Prevails – Market Recovers from Initial Shock on February New Home Sales

    March 26, 2007 Reading Time: 2 minutes

    Today was an interesting day in the markets.  The key event was the release at 10am EST by the Commerce Department of the report for February New Home Sales.  The report said that new homes sold at a seasonally adjusted…

    Read More Bullishness Prevails – Market Recovers from Initial Shock on February New Home SalesContinue

  • Graham Summers Says The Carry Trade Doesn’t Matter – I Think He’s Wrong

    March 26, 2007 Reading Time: 4 minutes

    S&P 500 (black line) and $/Yen (orange line), December 27 2006 – March 26 2007

    Read More Graham Summers Says The Carry Trade Doesn’t Matter – I Think He’s WrongContinue

  • The Market is Schizophrenic Right Now – 9 to 1 Up and Down Days

    March 26, 2007 Reading Time: 3 minutes

    Mark Hulbert had an interesting article on Marketwatch after last Wednesday’s (March 21) close: “Nine to one: A rare and bullish technical event occurred Wednesday”.  Over 90% of the volume of all NYSE-listed stocks was up last Wednesday – the…

    Read More The Market is Schizophrenic Right Now – 9 to 1 Up and Down DaysContinue

  • Stocks Aren’t Cheap – The Coming Earnings Season Could Be a “Rude Awakening” For the Bulls

    March 26, 2007 Reading Time: 5 minutes

    One of the arguments you hear alot these days from bulls is that stocks are cheap.  At a P/E of 17 (based on 2006 earnings) for the S&P 500, stocks just aren’t all that risky, they say.  But this is…

    Read More Stocks Aren’t Cheap – The Coming Earnings Season Could Be a “Rude Awakening” For the BullsContinue

  • The Kirk Report Links to Top Gun’s Post “A Role for Ancient Sanskrit Scholars in Today’s Market – Ben Changes One Phrase and The Market Goes Nuts” and “My Investment Philosophy”

    March 23, 2007 Reading Time: 2 minutes

    In one his regular surveys of investment stories and analysis on the internet posted today,“Weekend Reading”, Charles Kirk of The Kirk Report linked to Top Gun’s post “A Role for Ancient Sanskrit Scholars in Today’s Market – Ben Changes One Phrase…

    Read More The Kirk Report Links to Top Gun’s Post “A Role for Ancient Sanskrit Scholars in Today’s Market – Ben Changes One Phrase and The Market Goes Nuts” and “My Investment Philosophy”Continue

  • A Role for Ancient Sanskrit Scholars in Today’s Market – Ben Changes One Phrase and the Market Goes Nuts

    March 21, 2007 Reading Time: 5 minutes

    Sanskrit n. : 1. An Indo-European, indic language, in use since c1200 b.c. as the religious and classical literary language of India. To the casual observer, today’s market action is sure not to make any sense.  The Fed left the…

    Read More A Role for Ancient Sanskrit Scholars in Today’s Market – Ben Changes One Phrase and the Market Goes NutsContinue

  • The Vernal Equinox – A National Holiday in Japan (Wed March 21, 2007)

    March 20, 2007 Reading Time: 2 minutes

    The Tokyo Stock Exchange is usually open from 5pm – 11pm PST (9am – 3pm the next day in Tokyo) and so I was just trying to check it on Yahoo! before calling it a night, as is my routine.  And…

    Read More The Vernal Equinox – A National Holiday in Japan (Wed March 21, 2007)Continue

  • The Kirk Report Links to Top Gun’s Post “The Wrong Question and The Right Question About Today’s Market”

    March 20, 2007 Reading Time: 6 minutes

    Charles Kirk, author of the highly respected Kirk Report, linked to Top Gun’s post on “The Wrong Question and the Right Question” in one of his regular surveys of investment stories and analyses on the internet, “Kirk’s Clicks”, last Monday (March 12,…

    Read More The Kirk Report Links to Top Gun’s Post “The Wrong Question and The Right Question About Today’s Market”Continue

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I dropped out of Philosophy graduate school to start Top Gun in 2006 to profit from the bursting of the housing bubble. The stock market peaked in 2007 and Top Gun beat the S&P by more than 50% in 2008... Learn More

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