Federal Reserve Archive

Top Gun FP Client Note: The Risk Trade

NOTE: Every week I write a Client Note for my clients.  For a limited time, I am allowing non-clients to sign up and receive the Client Note.  You can sign up at the top right ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

All About The Benjamins

December 8, 2009  ·  Category: Currencies, Federal Reserve, Market Commentary, Sentiment Analysis
[caption id="attachment_3011" align="aligncenter" width="300" caption="$ Index"][/caption] The last three days trading is all about the benjamins - the dollar, that is.  The better than expected Friday November Jobs Report has triggered a powerful rally in the ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

Judy Shelton In The WSJ: The Fed’s Woody Allen Policy

November 12, 2009  ·  Category: Federal Reserve, Macro Economics
But what if the Fed's efforts to stoke a recovery are merely creating asset bubbles in equities and elsewhere?  What if government guarantees—explicit and implicit—are encouraging high-risk investment behavior rather than restoring conditions for normal ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

Top Gun FP Client Note: Let The Bubble Blow

NOTE: Every week I write a Client Note for my clients.  For a limited time, I am allowing non-clients to sign up and receive the Client Note.  You can sign up at the top right ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

Fed Kicks The Can Down The Road

November 4, 2009  ·  Category: Federal Reserve, Foreign Exchange, Gold, Market Commentary
The Fed made no substantial changes to policy or the statement.  The key sentence on "exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period of time" was unchanged.  Essentially, they didn't want ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

Top Gun FP Client Note: Moment Of Truth Nears For The Fed

NOTE: Every week I write a Client Note for my clients.  For a limited time, I am allowing non-clients to sign up and receive the Client Note.  You can sign up at the top right ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

WSJ: The Dollar Is Driving Financial Markets

November 2, 2009  ·  Category: Currencies, Federal Reserve, Market Commentary
We've got this very unstable situation in which Fed policy is dictating the behavior of so many assets.  The dollar is at the nexus of this. - Dean Curnutt, President, Macro Risk Advisors, quoted in "Dollar ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

Tremendous David Einhorn Speech Monday At The Value Investing Congress

I really respect David Einhorn because he has evolved from a pure value investor into recognizing the importance of macro.  Anybody who doesn't recognize that at this point is going to pretty useless going forward.  ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

Commentators Start To Call It A Bubble

October 19, 2009  ·  Category: Federal Reserve, Macro Economics
IT'S TIME FOR THE FEDERAL RESERVE TO STOP talking about an "exit strategy" and to start implementing one. There's no need for short-term rates to remain near zero now that the economy is recovering.  The call ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »

NY Times: Fed Is Split Over Timing of Rate Rise

October 9, 2009  ·  Category: Federal Reserve, Macro Economics
Fissures are developing among policy makers at the Federal Reserve as they debate how and when to start raising the benchmark interest rate from its current level just above zero. - "Fed Is Split Over Timing ...
Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  No Comments »