There are a number of companies on a different fiscal year whose quarter ended at the end of August rather than September and therefore give us a preview of what to expect when 3Q earnings season swings into full gear…
A lot happened this week and it was almost all bearish in my opinion. The week started (Monday) and ended (Friday) with concerns about the collapse of behemoth Chinese property conglomerate Evergrande. US markets don’t seem much concerned about it…
Despite the government and its apologists insistence that inflation is “transitory”, reports from companies on the ground suggest otherwise. As you can see in the graphic above, 3M (MMM) forecasted on July 27 that raw materials and logistics inflation would…
I went to one who had the reputation of wisdom, and observed to him – his name I need not mention; he was a politician whom I selected for examination – and the result was as follows: When I began to talk with…
The most important event of the week was the Fed Decision on Wednesday afternoon. While the Fed did not make any policy changes (the Fed Funds Rate continues at 0% as well as $120 Billion/month in asset purchases) they did start to talk about inflation raising the possibility of tapering asset purchases and raising interest rates down the road. That was enough to create a dramatic reaction in financial markets.
Note: To sign up to be alerted when the morning blog is posted to my website, enter your name and email in the box in the right hand corner titled “New Post Announcements”. That will add you to my AWeber…
Note: To sign up to be alerted when the morning blog is posted to my website, enter your name and email in the box in the right hand corner titled “New Post Announcements”. That will add you to my AWeber…
The catalyst for Wednesday’s selloff was a hotter than expected April CPI Report. Overall inflation came in at +4.2% year over year and +0.8% month over month. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, was +3.0% year over year and +0.9% month over month.
On Wednesday morning April 21, I first wrote about a potential breakdown in the QQQ. Yesterday morning, I revisited the subject after the QQQ broke below its February 12 closing high around $336 to close around $330 on Tuesday.
There is a very interesting dynamic playing out in the economy right now that is almost certain to result in significant inflation. That dynamic consists in the reality of inflation as described by corporate executives, some examples of which you can read above, combined with the Fed’s refusal to admit that it’s anything more than “transitory”.