I probably sound like a broken record but it’s a tale of two markets: Big Tech and all the rest. Nvidia (NVDA) reported a monster quarter Tuesday after the close and will be the focus of Wednesday’s session. Revenue of…
We’re in a mini Goldilocks scenario. The soft landing is playing out – Alessio de Longis, Senior Portfolio Manager, Invesco There’s too much reliance on a soft landing at this point. We need to be a little bit cautious –…
The better than expected October CPI last Tuesday morning has ended the Fed’s rate hiking campaign. As you can see in the Fed Futures Probabilities charts above, the market is placing no chance of anything other than a pause at…
In my weekly preview, I wrote about my “Long WMT/Short HD” position and I continue to like that trade despite the action in the stocks post earnings. HD bounced after reporting earnings Tuesday mornings but only because the stock was…
Cisco (CSCO) and Palo Alto Networks (PANW) both reported earnings after the close and got hit in the after hours for weak guidance. CSCO lowered full year revenue guidance from $57.0-$58.2 billion to $53.8-$55.0 billion – about a 5.6% decrease…
On Tuesday morning, the October CPI came in below expectations (0.0% headline, 0.2% core) leading to an explosive move higher in stocks and bonds. The rationale is that with inflation now apparently under control, the Fed no longer has any…
Despite the huge bounce last week I continue to believe that we’re still in the bear market that began in November 2021. That’s because the Magnificent 7 – the mega cap tech stocks – are the only stocks really performing…
I have written a lot about how the Magnificent 7 are holding up the market cap weighted indexes while beneath the surface many smaller stocks have broken down (“The Market Is About To Break”, October 3). My point has been…
Stocks ripped higher last week – with the S&P and NASDAQ each gaining about 6% – after the Fed meeting Wednesday as investors concluded that the Fed is done hiking rates for this cycle. You can see this in the…
The crowd is right during the trend but wrong at both ends – Humphrey Neill, The Art of Contrary Thinking Contrarian investing is widely misunderstood. Most of the time it pays to invest with the trend and the crowd. It’s…