The market has recouped all of its losses suffered in the wake of Liberation Day. It looks like a V-bottom but I’m skeptical for a couple of reasons. One, there is still tremendous uncertainty about the outcome of the trade…
Wednesday night I suggested that 5,650 might be the limit for the S&P if the recent bounce is in fact a bear market rally. And that’s exactly how things played out in Thursday’s session with the S&P reaching a high…
It’s been quite a rally the last few weeks as Trump has walked back the outrageous tariffs he announced on Liberation Day and 4 of The Magnificent 7 have reported solid earnings over the last week. 5,500 represents a significant…
Google (GOOG/GOOGL) reported 1Q25 earnings after the close Thursday. I think Gene Munster is right in characterizing the quarter as “good but not great” as Search Revenue growth continues to decelerate. Nevertheless, with the stock beat down over the last…
Obviously uncertainty is extremely high at the moment and so is the question of whether the market has bottomed or the powerful rally the last two days represents a bear market rally. From the standpoint of technical analysis, it is…
About an hour ago, the news broke that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told a group of investors at a JP Morgan event in Washington DC that he foresaw de-escalation of the current trade tension with China as the situation was…
Staples exhibit sustained leadership in bear markets, not bulls – Steve Strazza, “A Bear Market Base”, The Strazza Letter, April 16, 2025 It’s hard to gain perspective on the market given the daily swings we’re experiencing. In order to do…
These kinds of monster rallies tend to show up during bear markets — when volatility is elevated and emotions are running high – Alfonso DePablos, “A Day For The History Books”, April 9 Wednesday’s historic rally can best be described…
Not many people know that Adam Smith’s primary target in The Wealth of Nations was Mercantilism, the reigning economic theory of the time. He called his book “an attack on the whole commercial system of modern Europe”. Mercantilism was focused…
Almost 100 years after the start of The Great Depression there is still a lot of debate about what caused it and why it lasted so long. But it’s almost certain that The Smoot-Hawley Tariffs and bad monetary policy played…