Why I Got Long Oil Today

August 18, 2008 at 12:29 pm  ·  Category: Commodities, Market Commentary, Sentiment Analysis, Technical Analysis

I think oil is starting to become oversold in the way the financials were a month ago:

  • At $113 a barrel oil is down about 23% from its highs last month.
  • The 200 DMA (Day Moving Average) is right around $110 and I’d think that would represent some pretty good support (Oil Chart with 200 DMA).
  • Volume in the ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas ETF hit a record today after a steady ascent for a couple months (DIG 6 Month Chart).
  • I think the dollar rally which has been putting so much pressure on oil is due for a break.

It’s been a relentless selloff in oil the last 6 or 7 weeks and I think it’s due for a bounce sometime soon.

Disclosure: Top Gun is long the ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas ETF (DIG).

Posted by Greg Feirman  ·  Trackback URL  ·  Link
 

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