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They Know Nothing
Thursday the Fed raised the Fed Funds Rate 75 basis points to 3.0-3.25% as expected. What surprised me – and the market – was the continued hawkishness implied by the “dot plot” – the Fed’s expectation of where interest rates…
First Republic On The Brink
I have no doubt that First Republic (FRC) is a superior bank. At the same time, any bank under a fractional reserve model is subject to a loss of confidence by its depositors resulting in a bank run. And an…
The Contradiction at the Heart of the Market
Let’s start with some context. The current bull market is being driven by optimism about Artificial Intelligence (AI). The premise is that AI will radically improve economic productivity resulting in a massive economic boom. It began on the afternoon of…
