An interesting meme has taken hold of the crowd mind that is financial markets in recent weeks: The Peak Inflation Narrative. It started when Powell signaled a 50 basis point hike on Thursday April 21 and has gained momentum since….
The precious metals miners are getting whacked for the third straight day Monday in the wake of Powell’s hawkish comments on Thursday. It’s pretty incredible to me that after nearly 15 years of insanely easy money, a few words from…
I can wait without having a twinge of impatience. I can see a setback without being shaken, knowing that it is only temporary. I have been short one hundred thousand shares and I have seen a big rally coming. I…
Wednesday morning, storied consumer goods company Procter & Gamble (PG) reported 4Q21 earnings. PG is a $400 billion behemoth and you likely use many of its products everyday like Crest toothpaste, Charmin toilet paper, Tide laundry detergent and Head and…
There is a new COVID variant – B.1.1.529 – that is spreading extremely rapidly in South Africa – far faster, in fact, than the Beta and Delta variants as you can see in the chart above from John Burn-Murdoch. As…
The market had a marginal bounce Thursday after two days of selling with the NASDAQ +0.52%, S&P +0.06% and Russell +0.82%. I wouldn’t get too excited if I was a bull because in addition to the gains being limited, volume…
Stocks had their worst day in recent memory Wednesday with the S&P -0.82%, the NASDAQ -1.66% and the Russell -1.55%. The red ink may not let up tomorrow as Disney (DIS) – another one of the 25 most important stocks…
The most important event of the week was the Fed Decision on Wednesday afternoon. While the Fed did not make any policy changes (the Fed Funds Rate continues at 0% as well as $120 Billion/month in asset purchases) they did start to talk about inflation raising the possibility of tapering asset purchases and raising interest rates down the road. That was enough to create a dramatic reaction in financial markets.
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There is a very interesting dynamic playing out in the economy right now that is almost certain to result in significant inflation. That dynamic consists in the reality of inflation as described by corporate executives, some examples of which you can read above, combined with the Fed’s refusal to admit that it’s anything more than “transitory”.