Top Gun FP Client Note: The Correction Bulls

NOTE: Every week or two I write a Client Note for my clients.  For a limited time, I am allowing non-clients to sign up and receive it at the same time as my clients.  You can sign up at the top right hand corner of the website.  I will also be posting the notes on my blog with a time delay from time to time.

Originally sent to clients Wednesday March 23.

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The benefit of the doubt rests with the idea that Japan will succeed with some sort of stabilization of the reactors, removing the threat of a cataclysm.

That would allow Wall Street to pick up where it left off before Japan’s horrific earthquake and tsunami: still betting on U.S. economic growth, expecting rising inflation and higher interest rates, and warily watching the unrest in the Middle East and its effect on oil prices.

– “Wall Street Bets Against A Meltdown”, Tom Petruno, The Los Angeles Times, March 19

The difference between a correction and the start of something deeper is, of course, observable only after the first has or hasn’t become the second, the way colds usually remain just colds unless and until they give way to pneumonia.

History favors the notion that this is just a nasty cold.

 

– “Calamity And The Correction Bulls”, Michael Santoli, Barron’s, March 19

 

We believe it is important for investors to appreciate that 1250 is an attractive entry point for equities, and we continue to see 1250 as probably the low for the year.

 

– Thomas Lee, US Equity Strategist, JP Morgan, quoted in “A New Clear Option For Market Bulls”, Steven Sears, Barron’s, March 22