Impressive Breadth, Seasonality, TSLA, Monetary + Fiscal Policy = Supply Bottlenecks & Massive Inflation, CLF & MOS Earnings

Impressive Breadth, Seasonality, TSLA, Monetary + Fiscal Policy = Supply Bottlenecks & Massive Inflation, CLF & MOS Earnings

Monday’s trading session was bullish and the trend remains up regardless of the fundamentals. The most positive development was the broadening out of market strength. Last week was all about mega cap tech pulling up a thin market. Today the…

The Economy Is Overheating

The Economy Is Overheating

The combination of all this fiscal and monetary stimulus is turbocharging what Keynes called aggregate demand. All that demand is putting tremendous stress on the global supply chain resulting in bottlenecks and raw material inflation. The inflation we are now…

Where Are The Girls?

Where Are The Girls?

This afternoon, dating app Bumble (BMBL) reported second quarter earnings. Last Tuesday, Tinder parent Match (MTCH) reported the same. If you want a date, check them out. But what about the stocks? Let’s start with Tinder. Tinder is the leading…

Week In Review: The Fed and The Precious Metals, ORCL, KR, SWBI Earnings, Parallels to 1999-2000

Week In Review: The Fed and The Precious Metals, ORCL, KR, SWBI Earnings, Parallels to 1999-2000

The most important event of the week was the Fed Decision on Wednesday afternoon. While the Fed did not make any policy changes (the Fed Funds Rate continues at 0% as well as $120 Billion/month in asset purchases) they did start to talk about inflation raising the possibility of tapering asset purchases and raising interest rates down the road. That was enough to create a dramatic reaction in financial markets.

Gleaning Macro Insights From Earnings Reports: CPB and Inflation, PLAY and Economic Reopening, GME and The Reddit Army, May CPI

Gleaning Macro Insights From Earnings Reports: CPB and Inflation, PLAY and Economic Reopening, GME and The Reddit Army, May CPI

Note: To sign up to be alerted when the morning blog is posted to my website, enter your name and email in the box in the right hand corner titled “New Post Announcements”. That will add you to my AWeber…

The Brutal Economics of Food Delivery: The Case of DASH

The Brutal Economics of Food Delivery: The Case of DASH

Almost a decade ago, when DoorDash (DASH) was just getting started, I needed money and took a temp job at their small headquarters at the corner of Page Mill Road and El Camino in Palo Alto, CA. My job was to call local restaurants to get their hours for an upcoming holiday and enter that information into a spreadsheet. It was mind numbing work and it didn’t pay much.