Macro Economics Archive
Understanding The Consensus View And Why It’s Wrong
April 5, 2020 · Category: Coronavirus, Federal Reserve, History, Macro Economics, Market Commentary, Philosophy, Top Gun Financial Planning
The consensus view is that this crisis is all about the coronavirus. Once the coronavirus is contained, markets will bottom, if they haven't already, and we'll rally into year end, eventually making new highs as ...
Posted by Greg Feirman · No Comments »
Rethinking My S&P Price Target Under Civilizational Breakdown
March 31, 2020 · Category: Coronavirus, Deflation, History, Inflation, Macro Economics, Top Gun Financial Planning
The more I think about, the more inclined I am to think that we are heading for Civilization Breakdown, due to the collapse of the dollar as a medium of exchange, like Germany in the ...
Posted by Greg Feirman · No Comments »
The Possibility of Civilizational Breakdown
March 19, 2020 · Category: Books, China, Coronavirus, History, Inflation, Macro Economics, Market Commentary, Silicon Valley
Sent to Client Note List members Wednesday 3/18/20 at 8:35pm PST:
14 months ago (Jan 2019) in my Client Note "The Everything Bubble And The Second Great Depression" (https://www.topgunfp.com/the-everything-bubble-and-the-second-great-depression/), I laid out my case for what ...
Posted by Greg Feirman · 2 Comments »
The Evolving Late Stage Bull Market
October 31, 2019 · Category: Apple, Facebook, Fundamental Analysis, Google, Macro Economics, Market Commentary, Stocks, Top Gun Financial Planning
Last week, James Mackintosh had an interesting article in the WSJ about the stealth bear market. His main point was that stocks have essentially gone nowhere since Jan 26, 2018. Digging a little deeper, he ...
Posted by Greg Feirman · No Comments »
The Everything Bubble And The Second Great Depression
January 6, 2019 · Category: Apple, China, Federal Reserve, Macro Economics, Market Commentary, Top Gun Financial Planning
The importance of Apple to the foundation of the everything bubble cannot be overstated - Kevin Duffy, Co-Founder, Bearing Asset Management
The last few months have witnessed the return of volatility. The S&P is down 14% ...
Posted by Greg Feirman · No Comments »
Why This Bull Market Could Be On Its Last Legs
September 22, 2016 · Category: Economics, Federal Reserve, Interest Rates, Macro Economics, Top Gun Financial Planning
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve decided to keep the federal funds rate at 0.25%-0.50%. Since then, markets have soared as investors celebrate the continuation of easy money. However, the Fed also fairly clearly telegraphed a rate ...
Posted by Greg Feirman · No Comments »
Some Caveats On The Retail Recession
May 16, 2016 · Category: Macro Economics, Market Commentary, Stocks, Technical Analysis, Top Gun Financial Planning
NOTE: Every week or two I wrote a Client Note for my clients. I post most but not all of the notes to my blog but with a time delay usually between 1 day and ...
Posted by Greg Feirman · No Comments »
Retail Recession
May 12, 2016 · Category: Federal Reserve, Fundamental Analysis, Macro Economics, Stocks, Technical Analysis, Top Gun Financial Planning
NOTE: Every week or two I wrote a Client Note for my clients. I post most but not all of the notes to my blog but with a time delay usually between 1 day and ...
Posted by Greg Feirman · No Comments »
Living On Borrowed Time
April 29, 2016 · Category: Books, Business and Investment Philosophy, Economics, Facebook, Federal Reserve, Fundamental Analysis, Gold, History, Interest Rates, Macro Economics, Stocks, Top Gun Financial Planning, Warren Buffett
NOTE: Every week or two I wrote a Client Note for my clients. I post most but not all of the notes to my blog but with a time delay usually between 1 day and ...
Posted by Greg Feirman · No Comments »
How To Play A Stock Market Bubble
May 12, 2013 · Category: Business and Investment Philosophy, Federal Reserve, Japan, Macro Economics, Market Commentary, Sentiment Analysis, Stocks, Technical Analysis
NOTE: Every week or two I wrote a Client Note for my clients. I post the notes to my blog but with a time delay usually between 1 day and 1 week. To receive the ...
Posted by Greg Feirman · 1 Comment »
