James Mackintosh wrote an excellent piece for The Wall Street Journal this morning (“Conditions Are Ripe For Deep Bear Market” [SUBSCRIPTION REQUIRED], Monday May 23, B9). A bear market is conventionally defined as a drop of at least 20% from…
Walmart (WMT) reported a surprisingly bad quarter Tuesday morning as margins were crushed by inflation and supply chain issues. The top line was fine with US comps excluding fuel +3% but Operating Margin of 3.8% was down from 5.0% a…
Take a close looks at the eighteen red dots in the chart above by Jason Goepfert of Sentimentrader: 1987, 1990, 1998, 2008-2009, 2018-2019, 2020. Breadth readings this bad – this many stocks hitting 52-week lows on the NYSE and NASDAQ…
An interesting meme has taken hold of the crowd mind that is financial markets in recent weeks: The Peak Inflation Narrative. It started when Powell signaled a 50 basis point hike on Thursday April 21 and has gained momentum since….
Make no mistake: We’re in a nasty bear market and stocks are going much lower. But the market has overshot on Fed hawkishness. As you can see in the tweet above by Jim Bianco, the market is expecting 225 basis…
The combination of an oversold market and good enough Facebook (FB) earnings may result in a squeeze higher Thursday. If we start to see a trend day higher, investors may pile in and shorts who have overstayed their welcome will…
With the NASDAQ and QQQ testing YTD lows Tuesday morning at 12,600 and $320 respectively I think the first 50 basis point Fed rate hike has now been priced in. This applies to the precious metals miners and commodity stocks…
The precious metals miners are getting whacked for the third straight day Monday in the wake of Powell’s hawkish comments on Thursday. It’s pretty incredible to me that after nearly 15 years of insanely easy money, a few words from…
The market started pricing in an extremely hawkish Fed after comments by Fed Chair Powell last Thursday in a panel discussion with ECB President Christine Lagarde. The NASDAQ was down big both Thursday and Friday and commodity and precious metals…
There is an important front page story in today’s Wall Street Journal by Jon Hilsenrath and Nick Timiraos entitled “Fed’s Chance Of Soft Landing Narrows” [SUBSCRIPTION REQUIRED]. It’s important because the market is priced for a soft landing – but…