Up until this point, we have experienced what I have termed a “stealth bear market”. That is, many of the important but not leading stocks have been beaten down. For example, as Willie Delwiche tweeted yesterday in the chart above,…
On Monday March 23, 2020 before the market opened – in the midst of the COVID panic – Chairman Powell essentially told financial markets that he would do whatever it took to support financial markets: The Federal Reserve will continue…
The expectation heading into Wednesday’s Fed Decision is that the Fed will double the pace of its taper to $30 billion/month. That much has probably been priced into markets after Tuesday’s session. Further, my guess is that Chairman Powell will…
The expectation heading into Wednesday’s Fed Decision is that the Fed will double the pace of its taper to $30 billion/month. That much has probably been priced into markets after Tuesday’s session. Further, my guess is that Chairman Powell will…
My best guess is that nothing much will change with QQQ, IWM and ARKK through year end. I can’t rule out QQQ breaking out to the upside but IWM likely won’t resolve its range until next year and ARKK will…
After a strong three day bounce, the market softened Thursday with the S&P -0.72%, the NASDAQ -1.71% and the Russell -2.27%. NYSE + NASDAQ Advancers to Decliners were 1,997 to 6,030 on relatively mild volume of 8.3 billion shares compared…
I do expect bulls to make a stand next week – perhaps as early as Monday morning. While everything else is technically broken, the QQQ has not cracked yet. While QQQ did take out $390 last week, it found support…
Coming into this week, Omicron and its effect on Fed policy was the crucial dynamic. NorthmanTrader nicely summarized it in the above tweet. On Tuesday, Powell threw bulls for a loop when he was far more hawkish than expected in…
There is a new COVID variant – B.1.1.529 – that is spreading extremely rapidly in South Africa – far faster, in fact, than the Beta and Delta variants as you can see in the chart above from John Burn-Murdoch. As…
The bullish sentiment for a year end rally is palpable. The Russell 2000 Small Caps ETF (IWM) closed up 49 cents (0.21%) on average volume Tuesday – hardly a convincing move – and yet the Twitter technicians were jumping over…