The Fed today attempted the highly difficult “dovish hike”. What is a “dovish hike”? Think of it as like the triple axel in figure skating or the double clutch in basketball. It’s the gold standard of central banking moves, one…
There is a tremendous amount of uncertainty and disagreement about what the Fed will and should do on Wednesday. Nick Timiraos provided an excellent overview in an article on the front page of Tuesday’s Wall Street Journal (“Fed’s Interest-Rate Decision…
Inflation is yesterday’s news. The Fed had already crushed it with all its rate hikes and the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and its collateral damage are ushering in deflation. While the Fed Futures are split on if the Fed…
As everybody prepares for tomorrow morning’s Jobs Report, I’m focused on Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB) – a small bank that caters to early stage technology companies (the heartbeat of the Silicon Valley economy). As interest rates have risen and financial…
Fed Chair Powell gave testimony before Congress this morning that was decidedly hawkish. As a result, the probabilities of a 50 vs 25 point rate hike in two weeks flipped from 30/70 before his testimony to 70/30 after, as you…
While the price action still favors the bulls, the market has been marginally weak over the last five trading sessions since Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG/GOOGL) and Amazon (AMZN) reported 4Q22 earnings on Thursday afternoon February 2nd. One of the more…
Get your beauty sleep this weekend because next week is poised to be epic. In addition to a Fed Decision on Wednesday, we have Big Tech earnings. The market ramped up last week with the S&P breaking out above its…
The precious metals have been on fire the last four months and The Wall Street Journal took notice this morning in an article on the front of their “Business & Finance” section. The most popular gold and silver miners ETFs…
The S&P closed above its 200 DMA Monday on hope that the Fed is close to done in its fight against inflation and the economy will avoid a recession. Investors are pricing in a “Goldilocks scenario” according to Liz Ann…
Stocks are bouncing hard into the start of 4Q22 earnings season as investors anticipate the end of the Fed’s rate hiking cycle. The Fed Whisperer Nick Timiraos had a must read article on the front page of today’s Wall Street…