Is The Bottom In?
The powerful three day rally from Tuesday through Thursday has generated a lot of excitement and speculation that the bottom may be in. The NASDAQ is up more than 1,000 points (8%) over that span. Grant Hawkridge tweeted a nice…
Buy The Invasion
What investors have been fretting about finally happened: Russia invaded Ukraine Wednesday night. Bears have been correct in saying that we won’t see even an intermediate bottom until there is real fear – and we haven’t seen it yet. Well,…
Play Inflation And Geopolitical Conflict With Gold
Gold had a big day Friday in the wake of the news that we might be going to war with Russia over Ukraine. The Gold ETF (GLD) was +1.91% on 3x average volume. Combine potential geopolitical conflict – and don’t…
Is This 1929?
From August 24, 1921 through September 3, 1929, the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged from 63.90 to 381.17 (+497%). From March 9, 2009 through November 19, 2021, the NASDAQ Composite surged from 1,268.64 to 16,057.44 (+1166%). In terms of the…
COVID Variant B.1.1.529 And The Fed Wildcard
There is a new COVID variant – B.1.1.529 – that is spreading extremely rapidly in South Africa – far faster, in fact, than the Beta and Delta variants as you can see in the chart above from John Burn-Murdoch. As…
The Stealth Bear Market And The Nature of Bull Market Tops
Cassandra was an ancient Greek priestess cursed to utter true prophecies but never to be believed. I can relate! On Monday I called for a Second Great Depression. This evening I am going to write about why I think this…
Inflation, The End of the Bond Bull Market and The Second Great Depression
For the first time in 40 years we have real inflation in the US and the implications are enormous. It means the end of the 40 year bond bull market, a stock market crash and The Second Great Depression. In…
Week In Review: The Fed and The Precious Metals, ORCL, KR, SWBI Earnings, Parallels to 1999-2000
The most important event of the week was the Fed Decision on Wednesday afternoon. While the Fed did not make any policy changes (the Fed Funds Rate continues at 0% as well as $120 Billion/month in asset purchases) they did start to talk about inflation raising the possibility of tapering asset purchases and raising interest rates down the road. That was enough to create a dramatic reaction in financial markets.
The End Game: 1 – 10 Year Treasury Yield Jumps 13 Basis Points, 2 – Stocks Plummet, 3 – Crescat: The Fed Is Trapped, 4 – Young and Dumb
Note: To sign up to be alerted when the morning blog is posted to my website, enter your name and email in the box in the right hand corner titled “New Post Announcements”. That will add you to my AWeber…
Playing The Bubble: 1 – Bianco: The Bull Case, 2 – Aaron Jackson: NOT The Bull Case, 3 – Cathie Wood on CNBC Fast Money Re: PLTR, 4 – SHOP Earnings
Note: To sign up to be alerted when the morning blog is posted to my website, enter your name and email in the box in the right hand corner titled “New Post Announcements”. That will add you to my AWeber…