The better than expected October CPI last Tuesday morning has ended the Fed’s rate hiking campaign. As you can see in the Fed Futures Probabilities charts above, the market is placing no chance of anything other than a pause at…
In my weekly preview, I wrote about my “Long WMT/Short HD” position and I continue to like that trade despite the action in the stocks post earnings. HD bounced after reporting earnings Tuesday mornings but only because the stock was…
On Tuesday morning, the October CPI came in below expectations (0.0% headline, 0.2% core) leading to an explosive move higher in stocks and bonds. The rationale is that with inflation now apparently under control, the Fed no longer has any…
Stocks fell again Monday on concerns about Omicron and Senator Manchin blocking the Build Back Better stimulus bill. The S&P was -1.14%, the NASDAQ -1.24% and the Russell -1.57%. NYSE + NASDAQ Advancers to Decliners were 1,933 to 6,121 on…
The expectation heading into Wednesday’s Fed Decision is that the Fed will double the pace of its taper to $30 billion/month. That much has probably been priced into markets after Tuesday’s session. Further, my guess is that Chairman Powell will…
My best guess is that nothing much will change with QQQ, IWM and ARKK through year end. I can’t rule out QQQ breaking out to the upside but IWM likely won’t resolve its range until next year and ARKK will…
Friday morning’s much anticipated November CPI Report came in essentially inline with expectations with headline inflation up 6.8% year over year and 0.8% month over month. This likely means the Fed will go ahead with its accelerated tapering plan next…
After a strong three day bounce, the market softened Thursday with the S&P -0.72%, the NASDAQ -1.71% and the Russell -2.27%. NYSE + NASDAQ Advancers to Decliners were 1,997 to 6,030 on relatively mild volume of 8.3 billion shares compared…
Bulls took back control of the stock market Tuesday with a massive relief rally that sent the S&P +2.07%, the NASDAQ +3.03% and the Russell +2.28%. This is more than a bounce at this point and the bulls have the…
I do expect bulls to make a stand next week – perhaps as early as Monday morning. While everything else is technically broken, the QQQ has not cracked yet. While QQQ did take out $390 last week, it found support…