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Bear Market To Begin In 2022, Defense Wins Championships

Bear Market To Begin In 2022, Defense Wins Championships

December 17, 2021 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Stocks were mostly under pressure again Friday with the S&P -1.03%, NASDAQ -0.07% and Russell +1.00%. QQQ lost its 50 DMA but I expect $380 to hold through year end. NYSE + NASDAQ Advancers to Decliners were 3,902 to 4,108…

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First They Shoot The Soldiers, Then They Shoot The Generals

First They Shoot The Soldiers, Then They Shoot The Generals

December 16, 2021 Reading Time: 2 minutes

The S&P was -0.87%, the NASDAQ -2.47% and the Russell -1.95% Thursday. All of the NASDAQ’s Wednesday post-Fed gains and more were erased. Apple (AAPL) – the market’s leading stock – was -3.93%. QQQ got hit hard but once again…

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Stocks Reverse Higher On Fed

Stocks Reverse Higher On Fed

December 15, 2021 Reading Time: 4 minutes

The expectation heading into Wednesday’s Fed Decision is that the Fed will double the pace of its taper to $30 billion/month. That much has probably been priced into markets after Tuesday’s session. Further, my guess is that Chairman Powell will…

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Two Scoops Of Hawkishness With A Dovish Cherry On Top

Two Scoops Of Hawkishness With A Dovish Cherry On Top

December 15, 2021 Reading Time: 3 minutes

The expectation heading into Wednesday’s Fed Decision is that the Fed will double the pace of its taper to $30 billion/month. That much has probably been priced into markets after Tuesday’s session. Further, my guess is that Chairman Powell will…

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Positioning Ahead Of The Fed, AAPL $3 Trillion

Positioning Ahead Of The Fed, AAPL $3 Trillion

December 13, 2021 Reading Time: 4 minutes

My best guess is that nothing much will change with QQQ, IWM and ARKK through year end. I can’t rule out QQQ breaking out to the upside but IWM likely won’t resolve its range until next year and ARKK will…

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Next Year Everybody Will Be Saying The ‘I’ Word

Next Year Everybody Will Be Saying The ‘I’ Word

December 11, 2021 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Friday morning’s much anticipated November CPI Report came in essentially inline with expectations with headline inflation up 6.8% year over year and 0.8% month over month. This likely means the Fed will go ahead with its accelerated tapering plan next…

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The State Of The Market Heading Into The CPI

The State Of The Market Heading Into The CPI

December 10, 2021 Reading Time: 5 minutes

After a strong three day bounce, the market softened Thursday with the S&P -0.72%, the NASDAQ -1.71% and the Russell -2.27%. NYSE + NASDAQ Advancers to Decliners were 1,997 to 6,030 on relatively mild volume of 8.3 billion shares compared…

Read More The State Of The Market Heading Into The CPIContinue

Stocks Drift Higher And Interest Rates Rise Surreptitiously With November CPI Looming

Stocks Drift Higher And Interest Rates Rise Surreptitiously With November CPI Looming

December 9, 2021 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Stocks drifted higher on low volume Wednesday. The S&P was +0.31%, the NASDAQ +0.64% and the Russell +0.80%. NYSE + NASDAQ Advancers to Decliners were 5,141 to 2,883 and volume of 8.8 billion was light relative to what we’ve seen…

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Bulls Take Back Control Though My Bias Is Still Lower

December 8, 2021 Reading Time: 3 minutes

Bulls took back control of the stock market Tuesday with a massive relief rally that sent the S&P +2.07%, the NASDAQ +3.03% and the Russell +2.28%. This is more than a bounce at this point and the bulls have the…

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Market Bounces As Expected But It Won’t Last

Market Bounces As Expected But It Won’t Last

December 7, 2021 Reading Time: 4 minutes

I do expect bulls to make a stand next week – perhaps as early as Monday morning. While everything else is technically broken, the QQQ has not cracked yet. While QQQ did take out $390 last week, it found support…

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I dropped out of Philosophy graduate school to start Top Gun in 2006 to profit from the bursting of the housing bubble. The stock market peaked in 2007 and Top Gun beat the S&P by more than 50% in 2008... Learn More

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